Fossil fuel emissions set to fall for first time since Covid, research shows

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Researchers forecast that global fossil-fuel emissions will decline by 0.4 percent in 2026, the first fall since the Covid pandemic. Renewable energy growth and an oil-price shock linked to the Iran war are driving the drop, though researchers cautioned it may not last.

Global fossil fuel emissions are expected to fall by 0.4 percent in 2026 for first time since the Covid pandemic, driven by the expansion of renewable energy and the oil price shock linked to the Iran war, researchers said Tuesday, who warned the decline may be short-lived.